Messengers, Message, and Presidential Attention

It's no state secret that the Obama administration has yet to announce its team for Latin America. The top positions at the Department of State, Department of Defense, and the NSC have yet to be filled. From where I sit and piece together the little third and fourth hand tidbits of information that cross my transom, it looks like the hang up is Cuba policy.
First of all, this alone is a strong message. If the defining issue determining the pace of appointments happens to be the same issue that regional heads of state are focused on -- U.S. policy towards Cuba --this is progress. In Secretary Clinton's confirmation hearings, her keystone issue for the region was energy, both fossil and renewable. If the crux issue really is Cuba, then down the road, regional talks on energy will be much easier and more productive if the United States can come to the table without this mid 20th-Century albatross of a policy.
The ball to watch seems to be the policy review. The Secretaries of State and Treasury both promised a review of Cuba policy in their confirmation processes. When will that policy review take place? Before the team is announced? After?
That seems an odd question for the Obama administration. The transition team's mantra was people first, then policy. Get your A-team on board and give them the reins. Mitchell, Holbrooke, Daschle, Holdren, Chu, all these incredible talents would hardly have accepted the job if it was structured the way President Bush structured John Snow's job when he was Secretary of Treasury: policy predetermined and held on a short leash.
Thinking about it, what it may reflect is the lack of presidential attention. In each of the cases above, President Obama has personally anointed his envoy, secretary or expert. On Cuba, Obama has been relatively silent since the election. That is certainly understandable, since this economic crisis would make any president want to keep all foreign policy issues off the front burner for as long as possible, Cuba even more so. In the absence of Presidential attention, the bureaucracies will eventually take over.
That would be a strategic mistake. Getting Latin America working in a real partnership with the United States is essential to a lasting economic recovery. The new locus of global economic growth will be sustainable urbanization, what Americans call "smart growth"--redesigning the transport, energy, communication, and housing patterns of our settled geography. Every major world region will, eventually, have to create a trading bloc, like the EU, to manage this new market expansion. When it does, Latin America is going to be an essential market for American products, services, and technologies. But today, the region is being cornered by China, Russia, and the EU. And the key to unlocking the door for a new Hemispheric relationship with the United States is Cuba.
Cuba does not need much attention, but it does need some. In fact, President Obama need only give the following instructions to a trusted envoy and his administration would reap global and regional praise while minimizing downside in Florida: "Find me some options on how to end the embargo and increase the pace of reforms in Cuba."
Initiating a policy review on Cuba without the right regional strategic concept is a recipe for incremental and bi-lateral thinking. It is also a waste of precious time. Let's hope this is not the message that the Administration is trying to promote.









In response, Hillary Clinton 


